Severe Weather Forecast – Tornadoes, Large Hail, Damaging Winds, Flooding – The Weather Channel Live

—–TIME STAMPS—–
Beginning South & Southeast 14:29
Northeast 24:31
East Coast 28:20
North & Midwest 31:21
Central U.S. 34:37
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Severe Weather Forecast -Tornadoes, Large Hail, Damaging Winds, Flash Flooding -Weather Channel Live

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…THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
EASTERN IOWA…SOUTHERN WISCONSIN…NORTHERN ILLINOIS…NORTHERN
INDIANA AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN…

…SUMMARY…
A line of severe thunderstorms is expected to move from northeast
Iowa across southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois into southwest
Lower Michigan this afternoon and evening. Additional strong to
severe storms are possible from the Mid Missouri Valley to the
central High Plains.

Although the scenario is still far from certain, the setup should
become favorable for a fast-moving line segment this afternoon.
MLCAPE is forecast to reach the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range along a
corridor from eastern Iowa into northern Illinois. Convection should
move just slightly to the south of due east, along the instability
gradient from northeast of Des Moines to near Chicago and then
eastward to near Detroit. The NAM is forecasting a 40 to 50 kt
mid-level speed max to move eastward to near Chicago by 21Z. This
feature, along with an associated speed max at lower levels, should
act as a rear inflow jet to this convective complex. This will help
any line segment to obtain bowing characteristics and enhance the
wind potential. NAM forecast soundings along the expected track of
the MCS show veered low-level winds to the south-southwest and very
steep lapse rates in the boundary layer. This should be favorable
for wind damage along the leading edge of the line. Some uncertainty
exists concerning the north-to-south extent of the wind damage
threat but have used model consensus to place an enhanced risk in
the area with the greatest probability of severe. Although isolated
large hail will also be possible, this should be the lesser of the
two threats. The severe threat with this linear MCS should reach
southeast Lower Michigan and northern Ohio by early evening.

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